Simple Dynamical Model in PyMC3
问题 I'm trying to put together a model of a dynamical system in PyMC3, to infer two parameters. The model is the basic SIR, commonly used in epidemiology : dS/dt = - r0 * g * S * I dI/dt = g * I ( r * S - 1 ) where r0 and g are parameters to be inferred. So far, I'm unable to get very far at all. The only examples I've seen of putting together a Markov chain like this yields errors about recursion being too deep. Here's my example code. # Time t = np.linspace(0, 8, 200) # Simulated observation