Future.apply starts an asynchronous computation whereas Future.successful creates an already completed Future with the specified result.
Now is
I don't think that Future(None) gives a big overhead, but still in it's default implementation each call to apply spawns a new task for a ForkJoin thread pool, whereas Future.successful(None) completes immediately. And each call to map or flatMap on the future creates a new task for the poll, which also gives some overhead, so you might want to take a look at scalaz Future/Task implementation which handles such details more carefully.